Dean's World

Defending the liberal tradition in history, science, and philosophy.

Democratic Contract With America?

In 1994 the Republicans took control of the congress in part due to a specific legislative agenda known as the "Contract With America." It was a remarkable achievement, and most of its promises were kept. The promises were honest: they promised that Republicans would introduce the bills and try to get them passed, they didn't guarantee they would be passed--after all, only some Republicans signed on to the Contract, and there was a Democratic President to get through. But they promised to at least try, and on that score they kept their promise. In terms of how much actually got into law, roughly half of it did; much of it wound up modified in negotiations with the President, a couple were stalled in the Senate, and one or two were struck down by the Supreme Court (including, alas, the Line Item Veto for the President).

I've long thought that Democrats, if they hope to do better in next year's midterm elections, should do something similar. It's not good enough to be the "we're for anything Bush isn't" party. They have to actually stand for a specific and understandable agenda, especially if they hope to nationalize the election.

I see here that some Democrats are working on just such a plan, and much of it looks promising. The only achilles heel that would cause me to avoid voting Democrat that year, is the part where they promise not to have any long-term bases in Iraq. For that alone, I'd vote against them. The most dangerous area in the world is the Middle East, and it's important that we have bases in that area. Also the people of Iraq are going to continue needing our help to stabilize their nation for some time to come--we can't afford to turn them over to the mercies of their totalitarian neighbors.

And I would like to note, in case any loyal Democrats are reading, that as unpopular as you think the war in Iraq is now, if you really don't think Democrats will be flayed alive if they try to advocate a complete pullout of Iraq, you're fooling yourself. They should expect, and will fully deserve, a radioactive-glow ass-whuppin' just like 2002 and 2004 if they try it. It's easy to sit around and convince people that Iraq is a "quagmire" and a "failure" and evil and all that when voters aren't paying much attention to politics. Tell them full in the face just before election day that if we abandon Iraq we'll see increased terrorism in the world, and that we will only wind up having to go back to Iraq in the future if we leave now, and most of them will wind up agreeing.

That's not a threat. It's a prediction.

The rest of the proposals seem sane enough, not things I agree with per se but they don't seem like bad ideas. They're certainly proposals that a sane political party could make. It would make me less afraid to trust Democrats with national security.

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Dave (mail):
That would definately be the deal-killer, agreed.

There ARE some very good proposals in there, and taking those and putting a GOP angle on them would do wonders for most Republicans' attitudes (including my own) about "other peoples' so-called Republican Congressmen, and everyone's Senator".

I -REALLY- like the Uncle S.A.M. Act, as described in the brief.

Some of the others I sigh at the assumptions implicit within them (Truth in War assumes "we were lied to by someone in the Administration, not by the CIA and the French", Restore the Beacon seems to assume torture is Unofficially Approved And Encouraged right now - they've bought the 'Rumfeld ordered Abu Ghraib and we're torturing people at Gitmo' line, some of the others have either unrealistic timelines, like the National Crisis Preparedness Act, or really put too much 'justify yourself to Congress so they can turn around and make headlines, instead of getting work done' restrictions on the Executive for my taste).
11.3.2005 8:23am
TallDave (mail) (www):
I have to agree with Dave aboce, there are some things to like here.

Unfortunately a lot is tendentious and negative - "Quagmire Avoidance?" - or intended to imply wrongdoing by the GOP, and a lot is things that are already being done (#8 sounds a lot like PNAC).
11.3.2005 11:16am
Dave J (mail):
"...one or two were struck down by the Supreme Court (including, alas, the Line Item Veto for the President)."

It's unfortunate only in the sense that a line-item veto for the President is probably a good idea for a future constitutional amendment. That Congress can't create a line-item veto by statute should, I would think, really be pretty readily apparent, as it was to the Court. Most governors have line-item veto powers, but that's because those powers are explicitly granted to them in their state constitutions.
11.3.2005 11:54am
Phelps (www):
I liked the Uncle SAM act at first glance -- and then I read the CAP reports behind it, and it is very, VERY dangerous. Although there is token language in the end about detering China and such, the meat of it is very much in the mindset of fighting this war, not the next one. It will put us in the position of France with the Maginot line in WW2.

The F/A-22 is a vital plane. "The Russian planes it was designed to combat were never made!" Yeah? Are we supposed to believe that because Russia collapsed, China won't pick up the programs? They actually have the gall to point to Afghanistan and Iraq as examples of why we don't need it. That's like saying that because the Dallas Cowboys beat a couple of high school football teams, they can skip the draft this year, and shorten training camp to three days. The report is similarly short-sighted in regards to space-based weapons and dd(x) program and ballistic missile defense.

News flash, guys -- we have a working BMD now -- all we have to do is put nuclear warheads on the interceptors, just like the Russian SAMs in the cold war.
11.3.2005 4:24pm
Dean Esmay:
The sniping about the war is probably inevitable. I remember all the Republican sniping about Bosnia and Kosovo, which amounted to much the same stuff. If it appeases their base, let 'em have it. Just so long as it doesn't lead us to do dumb things like abandon Iraq and Afghanistan again.
11.3.2005 4:24pm
Steven Malcolm Anderson (www):
I will see to it that I vote Republican. I certainly don't want the Democrats to win the next election, nor the one after that.
11.3.2005 6:03pm
Steven Den Beste (mail) (www):
Democrats are looking at polls that show a rising number of Americans who answer that they're not satisfied with how the war is progressing.

What I think they misunderstand is that a lot of those who answer that way are unsatisfied because they think the war should be getting prosecuted with more vigour. They're unsatisfied because we haven't yet gotten tough with Syria and/or Iran and/or Saudi Arabia.

Such people aren't going to vote for "bring 'em all back home again" candidates.
11.3.2005 8:55pm
McKiernan:
The democrats would do well when they actually discover the real world. If they want Truth in War they ought read stuff like this: Indonesia beheadings instead of listening to the Democrat chairman, Howard Dean.

Next we find

4. National Crisis Preparedness Act - This law would give the Department of Homeland Security six-months to develop comprehensive plans to deal with...

Next Number Six: This is hilarious:

6. Quagmire Avoidance Act -These conditions would form the basis for monthly reviews ...with the Congress committed to accelerating the timetable for withdrawal if these conditions for success are not met. This needs to be called the France white flag option.

Next:

8. Secure America for Our Children Act - This law would create a National Security Council function dedicated to assessing and preparing for long-term (5-50 years) threats.

More later...
11.3.2005 8:58pm
michaelreynolds (mail) (www):
I don't believe it said "long term" bases, it said "permanent." A crucial difference.

I don't believe we currently describe Okinawa as a "permanent" base. No base on foreign territory can be described as permanent since any such base continues on sufferance and we have to allow that such sufferance can be withdrawn. To claim a right to permanently base US forces in foreign territory is to deny sovereignty, to claim for ourselves the complete right to maintain a particular base.

Change the location, imagine that we declare our bases in Britain to be permanent: I imagine even Mr. Blair might feel constrained to point out that it is permanent only so long as Her Majesty's government says it is.

I think the use of the "p" word in this context was actually a case of opening wide the door for long-term basing.
11.4.2005 9:35am
Ken Hall (www):
Fluff.
11.4.2005 11:14am