Dean's World

Defending the liberal tradition in history, science, and philosophy.

Fractal Democracy

One of the fascinating things about the democratic process is how many unintended consequences it involves. For instance, the ability of 2/3 of the electorate in 3 provinces to reject the Iraqi constitution was intended to protect the Kurds; instead, the Sunnis were the main beneficiary. Had that proviso not been in force, there would have been less pressure to involve the Sunnis, and perhaps the pre-referendum breakthrough would not have occurred, and a major Sunni party would not have endorsed the Constitution.

This reminds me of an analogy Douglas Adams used, in regards to both astrology and parliamentary democracy: the particulars of the rules themselves aren’t that important, it’s the process that unfolds within those rules that’s really significant. We put people of a nation into a democratic constitutional process (first Americans, later Japanese, Germans, and Italians, now Iraqis), and like iron filings that line up on a piece of paper in response to magnetic fields they form certain patterns of behavior.

Those patterns of behavior under democracy have led democracies to become immensely prosperous and powerful relative to totalitarian regimes and socialist dictatorships. The degree to which an economy is controlled seems to be a main limiting factor in its growth. I think a large part of that can be attributed to something I’m dubbing fractal democracy: the fact that sometimes a blueprint is far less efficient at governing a process than an iterative process under a set of rules.

Ray Kurzweil noted that the entire human genome is less than a gigabyte; you could store dozens of people’s full genetic codes on your hard drive. But the total amount of information in the design of a human body is far, far higher than that; the brain alone requires hundreds of million times that much data to fully describe. How then is your extraordinarily complex body created from such a small amount of data? The creation and maintenance of the body involves a relatively simple set of instructions, the iterative execution of which creates enormously greater complexity, far exceeding the amount of information in the instructions themselves. Rather than a blueprint, your body is constructed using a fractal process, a complex biological version of Wulfram’s cellular automata.

Something akin to a fractal process is also fundamental to the success of democratic capitalism, which like the human body is governed by a relatively simple set of rules rather than a blueprint intended to describe or dictate everything we do. Totalitarian economic models fail because they inherently limit the complexity of the system they operate to the level of complexity that can be competently managed by humans, which is rather low (socialist dictatorships do the same thing to a lesser extent). Under democratic capitalism, instead of having everything we do defined, we’re given a relatively simple set of constraints (or laws) and left to our own devices, and the result is innovation and prosperity.

Imagine if your genes operated in a “command economy” mode and had to hold every bit of information that describes the blueprint of your body. Genes would have to be orders of magnitude larger, so large as to probably prevent a ten-trillion-cell organism like humans from ever evolving. Similarly, the Soviet Union and other Communist states found they were unable to manage the complexity of a state economy, and most have abandoned the attempt. Democratic capitalism benefits from the ability to harness something similar to a fractal process, creating vastly more complexity and efficiency than can be centrally described and planned.

Posted by Dave Price | Permalink | Technorati Trackbacks
Sean Golden (mail) (www):
Dave:

Very nice post. I have always bristled at the description of DNA as the "blueprint" of the body. That implis that every nerve path is defined and every bone and muscle is pre-ordained. I've always considered it to be more of a template than a blueprint. The DNA sets things into motion, but the organs and tissues themselves are involved in the process. A sixth finger or toe doesn't mean that the DNA says "make a person with six fingers." It can mean "oops, something happened here and the little nodule of cells that makes a finger somehow split into two so now each of them needs muscles, bones, blood vessels, etc." The result is six fingers in a somatic mutation as opposed to a genetic one, but hey, that sixth finger works anyway.

It's an amazingly robust mechanism to create a living thing.
10.19.2005 10:27pm
Paul Burgess (www):
Dave, excellent post. You realize your thinking here, extrapolated only very slightly, blows out of the water not only the notion of a command economy, but most forms of rigid, crispy, "clear and distinct" rationalism as applied not only to the economy but also to human culture and/or political life.

It's been a long day, and I'm too tired to follow that out in any detail. But I think you catch my drift. :-)
10.19.2005 10:59pm
Dean Esmay:
Sean: Yeah, the Human Genome Project pretty much seems to have demonstrated that there's less there in the genes than we once believed. For all the hype, it was surprising how little that actually produced, but, now we know that the idea that genes are everything is highly questionable.

My buddy Harvey (he's a molecular biologist BTW) had an amusing writeup on this very subject in his book on Oncogenes, Aneuploidy, and AIDS. One of the more fascinating parts being that there is a growing consensus that most cancer is not caused by genes or genetic mutation but rather than structural abnormalities among the chromosomes called aneuploidies. The idea isn't new but was discarded out of hand for a very long time, but now it's growing increasingly respected.
10.20.2005 1:22am
Kacie Landrum (mail) (www):
Well, I've always wondered if genes were really the "command center" of the body anyway, because they only function properly when turned on and off at the right moments. Therefore, whatever turns the genes on and off would be the real seat of power, wouldn't it?
10.20.2005 6:46am
Robert Speirs (mail) (www):
Perhaps the response to those who say that random mutation cannot be powerful enough to explain evolution lies in the effect those mutations have on the progress of the cellular automata patterns so thoroughly described by Wolfram. A mutation in just one gene at just the right time could cause a major change in the phenotype. The unexplained "leaps" and "gaps" cited by anti-evolutionists - and Stephen Jay Gould! - may be part and parcel of this mechanism. The only kicker may be that the whole process is so difficult to understand and predict that we may be at the mercy of supercomputers more complex than human brains to get a handle on what's really going on.
10.20.2005 12:14pm
Steven Malcolm Anderson (www):
Very good. A distillation of the wisdom of Edmund Burke, Ludwig von Mises, Friedrich A. Hayek, Michael Oakeshott, and Thomas Sowell in one post, plus some info about genetics.
10.20.2005 12:16pm
Dean Esmay:
Robert: More likely is that genes aren't as important as we think they are, and we need to stop expecting mutations in a single gene to account for wild changes, which doesn't make much sense. Most species have different numbers of chromosomes, and find me a way for a gene to make new chromosomes, or break off old ones.

The phenomenon of aneuploidy, however, which is increasingly being seen as possibly the major mechanism for cancer, may also be the mechanism for speciation.

(By the way, why the scare quotes around "leaps" and "gaps?" The leaps and gaps definitely appear to be there, it's not just Gould who said so.)
10.20.2005 3:25pm
TallDave (mail) (www):
Interesting points.

I've wondered lately if we wouldn't find that those "gaps" and "leaps" are indications of what appears to be extremely unlikely useful functional changes that just happen to be likely because of quirks in basic chemistry, similar to how fundamental physical constants appear to be "finely tuned" for the development of life -- more weak anthropic principle at work, because if the physical world wasn't finely tuned just so, there couldn't be intelligent beings here to ask why it looks the way it does.

If you look at the complexity of the simple Mandelbrot set that derives from such a simple equation, then consider how much more complexity is embedded in protein folding, you can see why an iterative process is capable of such enormously complexity as to make one wonder whether 4 billion years is really long enough for such complex organisms with so many useful features to evolve strictly by chance, unassisted by favorable chemistry quirks, given that one would expect the overwhelmingly vast majority of the complexity developed would be useless junk.
10.20.2005 3:42pm
Paul S (mail) (www):
Dave,

Thought provoking and very Hayekian indeed. If you have not read "The Road to Serfdom" you should.

So many things come to mind, the concept of spontaneous order rising out of chaos. Like a market economy, like the blogosphere... that which is the result of human action, but not of human design, etc.

I'd love to flesh this out more, but time constraints....

I think you could also apply this analysis to the failure of the EU constitution. Instead of a short concise document outlining what is NOT allowed they attempted to spec out everything that conceivably could happen. The result was on overbearing convoluted document that the voters didn't quite understand and hence rejected.
10.20.2005 6:46pm
Dean Esmay:
Hayek states the classical view of economics very well, but honestly he's wrong about some things, and frankly a whole lot of what conservatives of his era were saying--that we're on a slippery slope toward greater and greater socialism--have proven to be bunk. Now in part that's because of their influence, you can't discount that, but still... communism fell. As well it should have because it does not and never can work. But in the meantime, democratic systems with varying levels of moderate socialism have proven to be quite efficient, quite conducive to growth and freedom and an improving of the general welfare.
10.21.2005 12:24am
Paul S (mail) (www):
Dean,

I'm hesitant to stray too far from topic, but I'm not sure I understand your criticism of Hayek, everyone was wrong about some things.

Yes communism fell, but it's not as if it's existence was harmless, or never a serious threat. How many millions did it send to an early grave?

I am afraid that in 20 years, when Iraq and Afghanistan are functional democracies, the left will say something like this:

'Bush was wrong and exaggerated the threat of Islamic Fundamentalism, and democracy in the Middle East was a fait accompli all along. After all, they only landed one lucky punch (9/11) and were never able to strike American again. And of course, Islamic Fundamentalism did fall, and it should have because it does not and never can work.'
10.21.2005 10:23am